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Mbappe Salah — BB2 Constrained Plan — Maximising DGW33 with 2 Free Transfers

Adam B · GW32 plan targeting GW33 · Generated: 2026-03-26 · DATA-DRIVEN

Squad State — GW32

Chips Remaining
Bench Boost 2
Free Transfers
2 FT
Bank
£0.2m
Overall Rank
12,453,776

Chips used: BB1 (GW2), TC1 (GW10), FH1 (GW11), WC1 (GW12), WC2 (GW23), TC2 (GW26), FH2 (GW31). API shows [] due to known counting bug — BB2 verified via chipHistory.

Current Squad — DGW33 Status

Starting XI

PosPlayerTeamSell £FormTPGW33 Status
GKPFabiańskiWHU£4.0mF:2.862Single
DEFAlexander-ArnoldLIV£7.2mF:5.4132Single
DEFGabriel ARS£6.5mF:7.8158×2 DGW33
DEFThiawNEW£5.1mF:3.468Single
DEFAndersenFUL£4.6mF:3.072Single
MIDB.Fernandes MUN£8.4mF:9.2185Single
MIDSalah LIV£13.2mF:7.4220Single
MIDPalmerCHE£10.6mF:3.4168Single
FWDIsakNEW£9.0mF:5.8148Single
FWDWatkinsAVL£8.8mF:5.2130×2 DGW33
FWDRaúlFUL£5.8mF:4.294Single

Bench

PosPlayerTeamSell £FormTPGW33 Status
GKPFlekkenBRE£4.5mF:3.285Single
MIDSenesiBOU£4.8mF:6.2102Single
MIDTruffertBOU£4.8mF:6.698Single
FWDWissaBRE£6.2mF:4.6112Single

DGW33 Coverage — ARS, MCI, AVL, CRY Double

Current — DGW33 Coverage

2
13% of squad
XI Doublers
2
Bench Doublers
0
Total DGW33
2/15

Gabriel (ARS) and Watkins (AVL) already double. 0 bench doublers — BB2 uplift limited.

After Transfers — DGW33 Coverage

4
27% of squad
XI Doublers
4
Bench Doublers
0
Total DGW33
4/15

After 2 FTs: O'Reilly (MCI) + Richards (CRY) added. Bench (Senesi, Truffert, Wissa) are single-fixture but strong form — contribute ~25-40 pts to BB2.

Transfer Sequence — Phase by Phase

GW32 — 2 Free Transfers (Add DGW33 doublers)

OUT Free
Thiaw (NEW)
£5.1m · F:3.4 · F:3.4 SELL — poor form, NEW single fixture GW33, no DGW33 value
IN ×2 DGW33
O'Reilly (MCI)
£5.0m · F:6.2 · MCI DGW33 doubler. F:6.2 ★. Saves £0.1m → bank £0.3m
OUT Free
Andersen (FUL)
£4.6m · F:3.0 · F:3.0 MONITOR → SELL — FUL single fixture, no DGW33 value, budget positive swap
IN ×2 DGW33
Richards (CRY)
£4.4m · F:5.2 · CRY DGW33 doubler at cheaper price. F:5.2. Saves £0.2m → bank £0.5m

Summary: 2 FTs add 2 DGW33 doublers to the XI (0→4 total). Both trades are budget-positive, ending with £0.5m in bank. No hits needed.

GW33 — Bench Boost 2 (All 15 score) Bench Boost 2

No transfers — chip activates automatically.

Summary: BB2 activated GW33. All 15 players score including bench (Senesi F:6.2, Truffert F:6.6, Wissa F:4.6). Bench contributes ~25-40 pts despite single fixtures. 4 doublers in XI add substantial ceiling.

GW35+ — Palmer upgrade (1 banked FT)

OUT Free
Palmer (CHE)
£10.6m · F:3.4 · F:3.4 SELL — form collapse, best time to sell while value holds above buy price
IN ×2 DGW33
Saka (ARS)
£10.2m · F:7.4 · ARS MID premium. £0.4m cheaper than Palmer. F:7.4 ★ — best value £10m MID available

Summary: Post-BB2 cleanup. Palmer sells while value intact. Saka or equivalent high-form MID replaces. Roll 2nd FT for GW36+ injury cover.

Hit Analysis & Scenario Comparison

ScenarioOut Exp.PtsIn Exp.PtsHit CostNet GainVerdict
Scenario A: 2 FTs only (no hits) — RECOMMENDED1126Free+15EXECUTE — 4 DGW33 doublers in XI, budget neutral, zero risk
Scenario B: 2 FTs + hit on Raúl → Gyökeres (−4)614−4+4MARGINAL — net +4 expected. Only take if very confident on Gyökeres returns
Scenario C: 2 FTs + hit on Palmer → Havertz (−4)512−4+3SKIP — marginal gain, Palmer could recover form in remaining GWs
Is 4 doublers enough for BB2?00Free0YES — bench contributes 25-40 pts regardless of fixture count. No WC2 available to build better. GW33 is the optimal remaining window. BB2 ceiling: 90-130 pts.

Chip Deployment Timeline

GW32
Bench Boost 2
GW33GW34GW35

Bench Boost 2 → GW33

BB2 activated GW33. All 15 players score including bench (Senesi F:6.2, Truffert F:6.6, Wissa F:4.6). Bench contributes ~25-40 pts despite single fixtures. 4 doublers in XI add substantial ceiling.

Captain Pick — GW33

C Recommended: B.Fernandes (MUN)

Form
9.2
DGW33
SINGLE
TSB%
14.8%
Rationale
Highest form in squad (F:9.2 ★★). Single fixture but dominan…

Alternatives

PlayerTeamGW33FormNote
Gabriel ARS×2 DGW337.8DGW33 doubler with two chances. Strong ceiling pick if B.Fernandes has injury concern
O'ReillyMCI×2 DGW336.2MCI DGW33 differential. ~2% TSB. High upside in double but lower floor than established premiums
Salah LIVSingle7.4Safe floor pick. Single fixture GW33 but consistent returns season-long

TC2 Timing: N/A — TC2 already used (GW26) — TC2 was used in GW26. No triple captain available. Focus on optimising the BB2 captain choice.

Expected Returns — GW33 (BB2 Active)

Base Est.
137
Ceiling Est.
165
XI Doublers
4
Bench Pts Est.
27
PlayerTeamGW33FormExpected Pts
FabiańskiWHUSingle2.84
Alexander-ArnoldLIVSingle5.48
Gabriel ARS×2 DGW337.816
O'ReillyMCI×2 DGW336.214
RichardsCRY×2 DGW335.210
B.Fernandes CMUNSingle9.220
Salah LIVSingle7.49
PalmerCHESingle3.45
IsakNEWSingle5.87
WatkinsAVL×2 DGW335.212
RaúlFULSingle4.25
SenesiBOUSingle6.28
TruffertBOUSingle6.69
WissaBRESingle4.66
FlekkenBRESingle3.24

BB2 adds bench pts from Senesi (8), Truffert (9), Wissa (6), Flekken (4) = ~27 additional pts vs no BB2. B.Fernandes captain doubles to 20 expected. Total ceiling 165+ with doublers firing.